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Friday, 18 May

15:41

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Charlotte Street, NEW NORFOLK "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Charlotte Street, NEW NORFOLK
STATUS: Going
TYPE: FIRE INCIDENT
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262644
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 18 May 2018 23:41:59 +1000

13:08

Cable car catch-up "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Not everyone notices when I post links to updates on the sidebar, so for those who read from the top, just a very quick note that I have updated my old article on polling on the proposed kunanyi/Mt Wellington Cable Car following the release of two new polls by groups opposed to the project.

I thought I'd highlight this with a note at the top because I'm actually mildly annoyed about it.  Up til now it has only been the prospective developers of the cable car through time who have engaged in the usual silly commissioned-poll games involving misleading polls with biased preambles.

Now it's both sides.

If you respect the mountain, you should also respect the facts.

11:25

EMRS: No Real Change Since Election "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

EMRS: Liberal 47 (-3.2 from election), Labor 30 (-2.8), Green 14 (+3.7) Ind/Other 8 (+1.2)
Interpretation: Liberal 49.5 (-0.7) Labor 31.5 (-1.3) Green 11 (+0.7) Ind/Other 8
Outcome if election "held now" based on this poll: Liberal majority government (c. 13-9-3)
However it is unlikely in practice Greens would be in a position to regain Bass so quickly.
Poll provides no evidence that any party's support has changed.

The December 2017 EMRS poll, taken three months out from the 2018 state election, proved to be completely unpredictive of the outcome.  It had a 17% swing against the Government (the actual swing in the end was 1%), a 3.2% swing to the Greens (the actual swing was 3.5% against) and an 8% vote for the Jacqui Lambie Network (who in the end got 3.2).  If a poll taken three months out is predictively worse than useless, what can we say of one taken two months into an expected four-year term?

Predictively, nothing at all.  However, the May 2018 poll still does provide some data we can consider.  Just not as much as it used to do, because EMRS have changed the report format.  The new presentation provides pretty graphs in the PDF but no longer includes the old "Table 2" (a breakdown including "undecided" voters), and the number of undecided voters isn't stated in the new report anywhere.  Other Australian pollsters don't generally provide tables including "undecided" either (except for ReachTEL who define the term differently to everyone else) but the percentage of undecided respondents should be published.

What did we learn about EMRS polling at this state election?  The previous four elections EMRS polled at all featured Labor governments and this one featured a Liberal government.  EMRS had been especially prone to underestimate Labor support in the past, but in this case underestimated Liberal support even in its final poll (by 4 points, outside the poll's claimed "margin of error", but this could have been down to voting intention changes over the last week).

What we've seen suggests that if there was a specifically anti-Labor house effect in EMRS polling, it isn't there anymore, but it could be that EMRS polling underestimates the government of the day (whoever it is).  One thing that did follow the script was that EMRS overestimated the Green vote (this time by 1.7 points), as it did in 2006 (by 3.4 points), 2010 (by 6.4 points after redistributing undecided), 2014 (by 3.2 points, albeit a month out).  The pattern here seems to be that the poll is prone to exceed the Green vote by more when the Green vote is high and less when the Green vote is low.  My approach to modelling the Green vote in EMRS this term will be to reduce it by around 20%, and to split...

02:22

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Argyle Street, NORTH HOBART "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Argyle Street, NORTH HOBART
STATUS: Going
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262630
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 18 May 2018 10:22:49 +1000

00:48

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Macquarie Street, HOBART "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Macquarie Street, HOBART
STATUS: Contained
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 2
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262627
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 18 May 2018 08:48:42 +1000

00:43

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Argyle Street, NORTH HOBART "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Argyle Street, NORTH HOBART
STATUS: Contained
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262626
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 18 May 2018 08:43:37 +1000

00:00

May 18 #OnThisDay in #Australian #History "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

1789 - Arabanoo, an Aboriginal man, was captured at Manly on 31 December 1788 by order of Governor Arthur Phillip, caught smallpox whilst caring for others who were sick, and died at Sydney. He was buried in the governor's garden.

1806 - Report in the Sydney Gazette on five men from the wreck of the George who travelled overland from Jervis Bay to Sydney, along the coast

1825 - The Tasmanian and Port Dalrymple Advertiser, Australias first provincial newspaper, ceased publication.

1839 - Sarah Cook, wife of a shepherd at Norrilong (between Beverley and York, WA) and her baby were speared by members of the York tribe to satisfy tribal lore. Two brothers, Doodjeep and Barrabong were arrested and tried for wilful murder in July 1840. They were later hung in chains at the scene of the crime. A year later, a Noongar man named Yambup was also convicted of the same crime and was sent to Wadjemup Rottnest prison.

1849 - The Summary Trial and Punishment of Aborigines Act was passed in Western Australia.

1854 - Keep a lump of sugar in your pocket as a horse-drawn railway started plodding between Goolwa and Port Elliot in South Oz, which was in fact Australia's first public railway.

1859 - The Sydney Evening Mail ceased publication.

1859 - Harry was hanged at Goulburn for the rape and attempted murder of Margaret McMahon near Cooma.

1865 - Angus McMillan, the murderer of untold hundreds of thousands of Aboriginal people, kicked the proverbial bucket in a pub at Iguana Creek in Gippsland.

1877 - George, a Pacific Islander hanged at Maryborough Gaol for the rape of Mrs McBride.

1877 - Tommy Ah Mow, a Pacific Islanders hanged at Maryborough Gaol for the rape of Mrs McBride.

1889 - Intercolonial footy match between Tassie and Victoria was played at the MCG before a crowd of 20,000. The Gum Suckers wore colours of Royal Blue & Old Gold, while the Apple Islanders wore  their colony colours of Rose, Primrose & Black.
Final score was
Victoria - 6 goals, 9 behinds
Tassie - 1 goal, 6 behinds

1891 - James Johnston was hanged at Ballarat for murdering his wife Mary and their four children.

1897 - The original clubs of the newly formed VFL were Collingwood, South Melbourne, Essendon, Melbourne, Fitzroy, Geelong, St. Kilda and Carlton, which played their first matches today.

1901 - Harry Rickards opened his New Opera House, the future Tivoli Theatre, in Bourke Street, Melbourne, on the site of the former Prince of Wales Opera Theatre.

1902 -  William Windeyer took the main part in rescuing young people from a rowing boat capsized in Fern Bay, near his Hunters Hill home, and was awarded a silver medal by the Royal Shipw...

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Thursday, 17 May

23:18

Rekindling the spirit within "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

It is only weeks until I hand over my little wholefoods business to new blood. Tiny though it is, its creation and success has been in no small part due to my intensive commitment to sourcing organic, Australian ingredients from individual farmers and makers as well as the individual needs of my customers. The time involved in doing so has meant my head has had little room for the finer workings of my food garden and its seasonal systems.

Last night I began reading some of the food gardening blogs in the side bar here and it has sparked a firecracker reaction in my heart and head to sow and plant all manner of interesting edible plants again. Maybe it will happen that I reconnect with old food gardening bloggers as well as find new ones, from far corners of our planet. Facebook has not taken them all away and turned them into clickers and likers; they are still there, writing and sharing their experiences to any who choose to come by. Below are the food gardening bloggers who gathered at the Oxford Botanic Gardens in 2008. None of us had ever met before but we had all read each others blogs.

DSC_0014  Bloggers gathering at Oxford Botanic Gardens, 2008

As winter creeps in and my head loosens its ties to being a wholefoods sole-trader the spaces will be filled with the inner warmth that comes with sorting and sourcing seeds, reading and writing about food gardening and planning for more nooks in my garden, to grow unusual vegetables. I look forward to working in the cold, misty, winter garden, rugged up and conscious of the life there; in the soil, in the trees, in the pond and in the sky.

My house is full of books about growing and cooking. During these past 8 years I have not stopped buying and reading them. Now the future will be about the doing and the eating and the sharing and the pure joy of it all.

Life is good and I am almost there..

22:55

Looking Back on William Hawkins, the Outsider Artist Who Became Wildly Popular in His 80s "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

William Hawkins, Tasmanian Tiger 3 (1989) (all images courtesy Columbus Museum of Art)

COLUMBUS, Ohio The Columbus Museum of Art (CMA) has a real knack for presenting artists who not only have local connection and cache, but have gone relatively unnoticed by other major institutions. The work of William L. Hawkins has been gathered in unprecedented scope for his first major museum exhibition, William L. Hawkins: An Imaginative Geography, the joint effort of CMA and the Figge Art Museum in Davenport, Iowa. In many ways, Hawkinss aesthetics represent the Platonic ideal of outsider art, so utterly definitive of the genre that to encounter his works feels like suddenly recalling a childhood memory. There is a sense, in looking at his bold and humorous paintings, of returning to something one has always known.

William Hawkins, Ohio State University Stadium (1980s)

The accretion of some 60-plus pieces of 2D and rare 3D work are all the more impressive when one considers that Hawkins was not discovered or embraced by the art world until he was in his 80s. Most of his extant work comes from the single decade between his public debut, when he took first prize at the 1982 Ohio State Fair, and his death in 1990 but during his years in the limelight, Hawkins was so wildly popular and s...

22:30

Electric vehicles will soon rule the neo-chariot world "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

It didnt seem all that long ago when Tesla released its first fully electric vehicle (EV), and due to its high retail price it wasnt an instant success, but fast forward to the end of this decade and Tesla EVs will be burning off the production conveyor belt at a rapid rate, and there seems no end to this neo-tech revolution

22:15

Dear Senator Abetz ... "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Dear Senator Abetz, On Friday 8th August 2014 you flew from Launceston to Hobart using a chartered aircraft at a cost of $1850

21:35

Majority Oppose Cable Car in Denison with 11% swing against Project "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

New polling shows momentum is building behind the campaign to protect kunanyi/Mt Wellington from a cable car, with a majority of Denison residents now opposed to the project. The poll demonstrates that as more information about the cable car is released and special legislation to facilitate it is passed, more people are openly opposed to it EARLER on Tasmanian Times ... Cable Car: Richard Flanagans speech in full ...

21:31

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Ballawinnie Road, LINDISFARNE "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Ballawinnie Road, LINDISFARNE
STATUS: Going
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 2
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262625
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 18 May 2018 05:31:53 +1000

21:04

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Ballawinnie Road, LINDISFARNE "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Ballawinnie Road, LINDISFARNE
STATUS: Going
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles:
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262624
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 18 May 2018 05:04:19 +1000

13:56

Legislative Council 2018: Hobart and Prosser Live And Postcount "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Hobart: CALLED (7:15) Rob Valentine (IND) retain
Prosser: Howlett (Lib) leading Lambert (ALP) and expected to win.  Mav (IND) out.

Welcome to my live coverage thread for the 2018 Legislative Council elections for Hobart and Prosser.  After the craziest week in the Lower House in decades, we now come to the voting for two Legislative Council seats - Hobart, where Rob Valentine faces his first defence and Prosser, a new seat created by a redistribution.  The left currently has the numbers in the Legislative Council, care of four Labor MLCs and four left-wing independents, and that's not changing unless the Liberals can pull off a big upset in Hobart.  Indeed, should Prosser go badly for them, the balance will become even worse for the Hodgman government.  By the way, should a party-endorsed candidate win either seat then the party representation will reach a new all-time high (see the chart at Poll Bludger to see how the parties ebbed and flowed in the last several years.)

Comments will follow below the dotted line, scrolling from the earliest upwards. All the seats will be covered together.  I'm leaving this bit of text at the top to try to prevent colours from the heading running into the main text.



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Preference Throw

5:56 Looks like the final margin is 8776-7889 (52.7%:47.3% of non-exhaust).  Lambert made a small gain on Mav's preferences but nowhere near enough.

It was never that clear what to expect from this new seat and the Liberals would have gladly taken a win by any margin.  In the end it's a fairly close result but the preferences have done basically nothing from the primary standings, a big contrast to Huon 2014.  So the Government has its first LegCo gain since taking office in 2014 and party representation in the Legislative Council reaches an all-time high.

5:47 Report from a Liberal source that Howlett has won.

4:24 Mav's out!  Howlett leads Lambert by 975 with...

09:32

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Macquarie Street, SOUTH HOBART "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Macquarie Street, SOUTH HOBART
STATUS: Going
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles:
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262616
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Thu, 17 May 2018 17:32:18 +1000

08:32

Media Release: Conservationists stage demo for Tarkine protection at MCG. "Give the Tarkine a sporting chance at the G" "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

On Mothers Day Sunday, when some mums may be given cards, flowers or a ticket to the footy, Bob Brown Foundation supporters are standing up for World Heritage protection of Tasmanias Tarkine for future generations of mothers.

"An equivalent to 15 000 MCGs worth of native forest are threatened by chainsaws and bulldozers in Tasmania's Tarkine," Bob Brown Foundation campaigner Emma Wasson said.

 

32489692_10156216583125928_4785152231320059904_o.jpg

07:04

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Collins Street, HOBART "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Collins Street, HOBART
STATUS: Going
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles:
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262610
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Thu, 17 May 2018 15:04:18 +1000

05:05

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Briggs Road, BRIGHTON "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Briggs Road, BRIGHTON
STATUS: Going
TYPE: STRUCTURE FIRE
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262608
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Thu, 17 May 2018 13:05:01 +1000

04:44

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Wilks Road, LENAH VALLEY "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Wilks Road, LENAH VALLEY
STATUS: Contained
TYPE: RESCUE
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262606
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Thu, 17 May 2018 12:44:05 +1000

01:46

State loses $188 million GST ... "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

... because Public Sector wages are too low The state budget will be docked by $188 million in GST funding in 2018-19 because government employees in Tasmania are paid less than in any other state or territory. The Commonwealth Grants Commission, which administers the GST, will redistribute this money to states which pay more, particularly to Western Australia. The Commission does this to even out the cost between the states of providing services

00:25

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Roslyn Avenue, KINGSTON BEACH "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Roslyn Avenue, KINGSTON BEACH
STATUS: Going
TYPE: ALARM
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/262600
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Thu, 17 May 2018 08:25:10 +1000

00:00

May 17 #OnThisDay in #Australian #History "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

1770 - Jimmy Cook spied the Glasshouse Mountains in QLD and named them in fond memory of the Yorkshire glass furnace chimneys.

1797 - Survivors of the wreck of the Sydney Cove passed through Illawarra, reaching Sydney on 17 May. They tell of finding coal in northern Illawarra and of being attacked by 'savage natives' near Red Point. In fact, it appears that some of the crew members were the savages and that they may have suffered attacks from members of their own party.

1813 - Two large Norfolk Pine Trees were presented to Mrs. Macquarie by ( a very, very reformed convict) Simeon Lord. They were removed from his garden, and planted at the Gate opposite to Macquarie Street

1824 - The Supreme Court of NSW was birthed.

1824 - A dinner was held at Government House to celebrate the great benefits that the opening of the Supreme Court would bring to the people described as "the inhabitants of Australasia."

1824 - Saxe Bannister became the first person to be admitted to practise as a barrister in New South Wales. His admission was concurrent with his being sworn into the office of attorney general of New
South Wales with a right of private practice at the first sitting of the Supreme Court.

1824 - At the NSW Courts Magistrates, Newcastle Police Court Andrew McColl, John McAuliff and Charles Fagan, runaways from Port Macquarie, were charged with attempting to break out of gaol after having ran from this settlement on the 4th of May, being retaken at Wallis Plains and sent back. The keeper of his Majestys Gaol states - I was going my rounds last night about 8 oclock and hearing an unusual noise in the room where the prisoners are confined in company with Samuel Hart (a notorious gaol breaker) now under committal for a trial for a burglary and William Halfpenny, under sentence for Corporal punishment. I suspected something wrong was going on amongst them. I procured the keys and examined the room. I discovered in one part of it a hole made large enough for a man to creep through. The hole had been made with the iron work of a tub in the room. They had destroyed the tub. The prisoners respectively deny having any knowledge of the hole or how or when it was made. Sentenced to 50 lashes each

1830 - George Thomson was hanged at Hobart for theft of silver plate and two pistols.

1832 - Those wrapping fish were in for a treat when the Sydney Herald became a bi-weekly paper. Price per copy dropped to sixpence!

1838 - Congregational Minister William Waterfield preached the first Congregational Church service in Melbourne to some fifty persons in the little wooden Church of England building in William Street.

1842 - Andrew Petrie fell over the Mary River.

1858 - The Main South Railway Line (NSW) was opened from Liverpoo...

Wednesday, 16 May

21:30

Oh god! Too Many Trucks ... "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Do you enjoy a drive to Mt Field or the South West or perhaps you enjoy fly fishing in the Tyenna River? If so, Im sure you are aware of the condition of the underfunded section of road from Maydena to Westerway EARLIER on Tasmanian Times ... Ivo Edwards: Please help me. I am in serious trouble ...

21:30

How come this quarry has been granted 80+ years of life ... ? "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Do you enjoy a drive to Mt Field or the South West or perhaps you enjoy fly fishing in the Tyenna River? If so, Im sure you are aware of the condition of the underfunded section of road from Maydena to Westerway EARLIER on Tasmanian Times ... Ivo Edwards: Please help me. I am in serious trouble ...

21:00

McCarthy review a dud ... live export ban the only option "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

This is all the proof we need that the Government has no intentions of reining in the cruel live export trade, Mr Wilkie said. Turns out that the public was right to be sceptical when this review was announced. The small changes that are recommended by the McCarthy review will not stop the horrific animal welfare abuses in the live sheep export industry because the fact is the industry is systemically cruel. Therell still be tens of thousands of animals sweltering in the heat on these hell ships and making minor changes wont stop this ABC: Government admits live export industry hasnt been held to account until now

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