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Saturday, 16 December

20:17

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Eaglehawk Neck "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Eaglehawk Neck
STATUS: Patrol
TYPE: FUEL REDUCTION BURN
SIZE: 1.4 hectares
Number of Vehicles:
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/a/53135
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Sun, 17 Dec 2017 06:17:26 +1100

19:30

Saving seed in Tasmania ... and a multinational company ... "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

The thin edge of the wedge has arrived in Whitemore, Tasmania Michael Anderson in Comments: In the US, where I live, it has taken the form of expensive lawsuits aimed at private citizens (farmers or just regular Joes) who grow heirloom crops and/or save seeds.  The culprits are Dow, Monsanto, and Archer-Daniels-Midland. You can fully expect your politicians to take their side as these multinationals are bribing them hand over fist.  Money talks and bt walks. Their GMO plants cant grow without petroleum-derived chemicals to keep them alive, but they can make your plants sterile.  They - Dont - Care.

15:59

Flat as a tack "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Attachment disorder

Some unusual commentary and conclusions were drawn about the price of flats this week, derived from an Urbis survey of unsettled off-the-plan prices each quarter (which alas does not compare like-for-like sales). 

Apparently apartment prices boomed in Gold Coast and Melbourne, but nosedived in Brisbane, in just three months. 

Or not. 

In reality what tends to happen is the first user of a new apartment or townhouse pays a newness premium, which may be eroded on resale, especially in a soft market. 

For all the talk of property booms and unsustainable prices, median price growth in established apartments has, on average, been pretty muted outside Sydney, despite low interest rates. 

When you look at the last ten years of official figures from the ABS you'll find that only Sydney has recorded strong growth in the price of attached dwellings (and even this came off the back of nearly half a decade of flat or falling prices). 

Hobart has gone on a bit of a run over the past couple of years, the tight market sending the median asking price for a unit above $300,000 for the first time.


Melbourne's attached dwelling price index recorded a compound annual growth rate of 4 per cent over the decade to September 2017.

All other capital cities have only seen moderate price growth over the past decade - hardly a bubble looking set to burst - though if you wound the clock back to 2003 the growth rates would be considerably stronger in Pert...

13:27

Bennelong Live: Majority On The Line (Plus Post-Count) "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Bennelong: John Alexander (Lib) vs Kristina Keneally (ALP)
2016 margin: Liberal 9.7%

CALLED: Alexander (Lib) retains - government retains its majority

Live Comments

9:45 End of night wrap: What we've seen here is a massive relief for Malcolm Turnbull and his government, but not much beyond that.  The swing is currently at about 5.6% and should come down when postals are added, making it a run-of-the-mill by-election swing.  The government is unpopular, so the swing should have been larger, but the sitting member recontested, so it should have been smaller. These things may well have cancelled out. The outcome therefore lands currently bang in the middle of my "inconclusive" range.  There were a number of wildcards from a campaign riddled with blunders and questionable strategies on both sides, but either the voters have ignored most of that or they have taken notice of both sides' errors equally (it's hard to know how these things will pan out, which is why I gave Keneally a fair chance.)

Labor are spinning the result as a triumph, but will be disappointed not to get closer.  Trying to argue the consequences of a by-election swing against the government being extrapolated to a general election ignores the fact that such swings historically aren't.  Should Labor now proceed to come a cropper to the Greens in a by-election for Batman (if there is one) they could be looking at a rocky start to 2018.

The disgruntled right within the Coalition - Christensen, Sukkar, Andrews, Abbott et al have not been vindicated by this result.  The passage of same-sex marriage has not harmed the Coalition, and nor has having a moderate candidate who himself strongly supported it (being one of the few to back putting the Smith bill directly to Parliament).  The result has strengthened Malcolm Turnbull's grip on the leadership, which was very shaky just weeks ago.

The Australian Conservatives have outpolled the Christian Democrats, but have nonetheless done nothing remarkable here, barely getting their deposit back.  These parties will need to look at merging or running a joint ticket lest they cannibalise each other's vote under the new Senate system with its weak preference flows.  The Greens have suffered from relevance deprivation.

9:03 With the booths all in, turnout is 73.25%.  There's about another 15% to come when the postals are added, so we may make it to the high 80s.  The informal vote is currently running higher than I thought at 7.4%, though based on the New England example this will drop somewhat with checking and with postals.

8:47 This is a...

11:31

Current Alerts List Southern Region: East Derwent Highway, GAGEBROOK "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: East Derwent Highway, GAGEBROOK
STATUS: Going
TYPE: FIRE INCIDENT
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles:
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/257474
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Sat, 16 Dec 2017 21:31:18 +1100

05:35

Pokie reflections "IndyWatch Feed Tas"


By all accounts Labors policy to remove pokies from communities after 2023 was unexpected.

However the risks involved when the gaming monopoly expires has previously been discussed by both parties to the arrangement, the government and Federal Group.

Treasury head Don Challen  told a hearing of the Public Accounts Committee on 16th July 2003 which was looking at a premature extension of the original deal due to expire in 2009:

I did say to Mr Farrell across the negotiating table a number of times that 'Come 1 January 2009 you don't have a business'.  I put a reasonableness test on the outcomes we get from the negotiations and if I didn't think they were reasonable in the interests of the Tasmanian community I would have kept pushing Mr Farrell until I got him to the point where I thought we had a reasonable outcome.  In the back of his head he knows that legal possibility of the licence coming to an end is there and that is a discipline on him to come to the negotiations with a realistic attitude.

Quite clearly both parties negotiated the 2003 deed extension with a sunset clause in full knowledge the punch bowl may be removed in 2023. If Federal Group have a risk management strategy theres little doubt what should be number one on the list.


The last bit of Mr Challens comment is significant:

...

05:19

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Highland Lakes Road, BOTHWELL "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Highland Lakes Road, BOTHWELL
STATUS: Patrol
TYPE: FIRE INCIDENT
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/257463
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Sat, 16 Dec 2017 15:19:19 +1100

01:45

Computer modelling is valuable for fire prevention: prescribed burning is inadequate "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Unfortunately, due to climate change, we are going to see a lot more catastrophic days in the future in Tasmania and indeed globally.

To fight the catastrophic fires of the future, we need to look beyond prescribed burning https://theconversation.com/to-fight-the-catastrophic-fires-of-the-future-we-need-to-look-beyond-prescribed-burning-89167  December 15, 2017 California is burning  a sentence weve heard far too often this year. Sydney is currently on bushfire alert, as firefighters battle a fire in the Hunter Valley region and temperatures are set to top 40.

A cocktail of factors, from climate change to centuries of ignoring indigenous burning practises, means that catastrophic fires are likely to become more common.

One of Australias favourite fire prevention measures is prescribed burning using carefully controlled fires to clear out flammable materials. Were almost obsessed with it. Indeed, it seems the outcome of every major inquiry is that we need to do more of...

01:40

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Forster Street, BICHENO "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Forster Street, BICHENO
STATUS: Going
TYPE: VEGETATION FIRE
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 2
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/257455
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Sat, 16 Dec 2017 11:40:30 +1100

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Friday, 15 December

16:50

FREE books. First in, Best dressed ... !x "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Tasmanian Times has books to give away ... including four Pet Cookbooks (by Kim McCosker), Operation Playboy by Kathryn Bonella, At Hells Gate, 4 true tales as told to Mark Abernethy, and The Burden of Lies by Richard Beasley, a Peter Tanner thriller

16:45

Big year for centenaries, this 2017 ... "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

what with 1517s Martin Luther (not King) and 1917s Vladimir Ilyich Lenin (n Ulyanov) And although less widely known, 717 Arab at Constantinople, another 1517 in Syria, Palestine and Egypt, 1717 re Belgrade from the Ottomans, leading to our very own Light Horsemen at Beersheba, leading via very important evens and decisions in the next few years to . . .

10:37

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Acacia Street, HUONVILLE "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Acacia Street, HUONVILLE
STATUS: Going
TYPE: FIRE INCIDENT
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles: 1
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/257444
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 15 Dec 2017 20:37:50 +1100

08:34

Will the sky fall in if pokies are removed? "IndyWatch Feed Tas"


The sky will fall in if pokies are removed from regional Tasmania???

The impending devastation will be obvious from the figures. A close look at say the Braddon electorate, will reveal all, surely? Its the most regional of the Tasmanian electorate, the most distant from the States two casinos and currently home to 730 or 30% of EGMs outside casinos.

Alas the figures fail to give any support for Federal Groups doomsday predictions.

Treasury modelled the effects of EGM removal for the recent parliamentary inquiry. Unbundling the model and introducing the latest figures for player losses from the Tasmanian Liquor and Gaming Commission for venues gives a detailed look at Braddon.


Town
No. Pubs  
...

04:21

Historic Hobart Sign Lives Again "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

IMG_1096_-_small.jpg

The 1930s McCann Bros Music sign, two storeys high, on the brick wall of Loretto, corner of Macquarie and Warneford Streets in Hobart, has been restored. The restoration, by Tasmanian master craftsman Michael Bremer-Trainor, took three weeks. It will have a public launch today at 12.30 pm, with a jazz band on hand to play period music.

Historic Hobart Sign Lives Again "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

IMG_1096_-_small.jpg

The 1930s McCann Bros Music sign, two storeys high, on the brick wall of Loretto, corner of Macquarie and Warneford Streets in Hobart, has been restored. The restoration, by Tasmanian master craftsman Michael Bremer-Trainor, took three weeks. It will have a public launch today at 12.30 pm, with a jazz band on hand to play period music.

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Thursday, 14 December

23:25

Current Alerts List Southern Region: Hutchins Street, KINGSTON "hobart IndyWatch Emergency Feed"

ALERT LEVEL: No Alert Level
Region: S
LOCATION: Hutchins Street, KINGSTON
STATUS: Going
TYPE: HAZMAT
SIZE: Not Available
Number of Vehicles:
More Info: http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/i/257425
RESPONSIBLE AGENCY: Tasmania Fire Service
UPDATED: Fri, 15 Dec 2017 09:25:26 +1100

Wednesday, 13 December

18:05

Housing is a human right ... "IndyWatch Feed Tas"

Housing is a human right. This undeniable principle should be universally adhered to; however, governments the world over continue to undermine it. Take, for example the case of Ni Yulan. This 57-year-old Chinese activist has been imprisoned three times, endured torture so severe that she has been left wheelchair-bound and, along with her family, continues to be harassed by her government. Although you may suspect Ni of committing an offence of the most egregious nature, she is actually being punished for defending housing rights

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